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144 MICROSOFT CORP 10/28/95
ZACKS ANALYST WATCH
MEAN HIGH LOW NUMBER MEAN CHG
EST LAST MNTH
($)
FISC YR END 6/97 3.76 4.15 3.45 23 0.12
FISC YR END 6/96 3.11 3.55 2.80 36 0.10
VS ACTUAL 6/95 2.37
QUARTER END 12/95 0.80 0.86 0.71 17 0.02
VS ACTUAL 12/94 0.60
QUARTER END 3/96 0.78 0.84 0.68 16 -0.01
VS ACTUAL 3/95 0.63
NEXT 5 YR GRTH (%) 23.39 30.00 18.00 27 0.14
ESTIMATES & ACTUALS ARE BOTH EPS BEFORE XTRAS & OTHER NRI'S
The screen shows both quarterly and annual EPS growth vs. a year ago. More importantly, it shows changes in EPS forecasts over the last month. Remember, these changes drive stock prices! Both estimates and actuals are adjusted by Zacks to exclude non-recurring items and accounting changes.
MICROSOFT CORP 10/28/95
WALL STREET RECOMMENDATIONS
MSFT RANKED 124/194 IN COMP-SOFTWARE IND RANKED 41/206
R R R
R I I R
I I I R R R Z R R
I I N R R R I I N
N N N I N N N N N R
-------- -------- -------- -------- --------
STRONG MODERATE HOLD MODERATE STRONG
BUY BUY SELL SELL
N = NATIONAL RETAIL BROKER; I = INSTITUTIONAL BROKER
R = REGIONAL BROKERAGE FIRM;
Z = ZACKS INDICATOR RANKING (EPS FORECAST REVISION MODEL)
( + UPGRADE SINCE LAST WEEK; - DOWNGRADE )
The first information line on the screen shows how the company ranked within its industry and how the industry ranked within the Zacks 221 industry universe, based on the average recommendation. A + or - indicates that the recommendation was changed to its current value during the past week.
MICROSOFT CORP 10/28/95
COMPANY VS INDUSTRY
---------- EPS GROWTH RATES --------
P/E ON
LAST 5 YRS 96/95 97/96 NXT 5 96
ACTUAL (%) (%) (%) YRS(%) EPS
COMPANY 32.8 27.8 21.1 23.3 32.2
IND: COMP-SOFTWARE 19.2 27.3 34.6 30.2 34.0
(T=144)
S & P 500 6.6 11.1 5.0 6.8 15.8
------------------------------------------------------------
COMPANY-INDUSTRY 13.6 0.5 -13.5 -7.0 -1.8
COMPANY-S&P 26.2 16.7 16.1 16.4 16.4
This screen shows you how any company's earnings have grown versus its industry over the last five years, what its EPS growth will be this year and next, and what the long term expected EPS growth will be over the next five years. If the company's EPS growth is above its industry rate, the PE ratio should also be above the industry PE.
Note that industry growth rates are based on equal weighted averages of all of the companies in the industry.
DISTRIBUTION OF EPS ESTIMATES
HISTOGRAM AS OF 10/28/95
MICROSOFT CORP
FY1 - 9606 FY2 - 9706
36 ESTS. 23 ESTS.
X
X
X
X O
X X X O
X X X X
XX X X OX O X
X XXXX XX X XX X X
X XXX XXXX XXOXX O XXX X XXX X X X X X
!-----!-----!-----!-----! !-----!-----!-----!-----!
2.80 3.00 3.20 3.40 3.60 3.44 3.64 3.84 4.04 4.24
"X" = EPS ESTIMATE ($) "O" = THREE MOST RECENT ESTS.
If you think you have a knowledgeable estimate of the EPS of a particular stock, compare it with the Zacks consensus EPS estimate. If it differs significantly from the consensus, and it is more accurate, other analysts will revise their estimates toward your estimate and the stock price will move significantly.
9/95 QTR: MICROSOFT CORP 12/95 QTR:
REPT DATE: 10/17/95 * EXP.REPT: 1/17/96
O
O
XX X X
XX XOX O
X XX XXXX X X O O O
X X XXXX XXXXA X XX X X X O OOX X
!-----!-----!-----!-----! !-----!-----!-----!-----!
0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90 0.71 0.76 0.81 0.86 0.91
MEAN 0.69 (28) MEAN 0.80 (17)
MOST ACC 0.70 ( 3) MOST ACC 0.83 ( 7)
------------------------------------------------------------
QTR END % SURPRISE ACTUAL ESTIMATE STD DEV. # ANALYSTS
9/95 13.87 0.78* 0.69 0.06 28
6/95 4.07 0.63 0.61 0.02 26
3/95 8.50 0.63 0.58 0.02 30
With this screen you can see the magnitude of a surprise, and whether the analysts with the most recent estimates (the "O"'s) were surprised. You can see if a trend is developing in surprises and know when to watch for the company's next earnings release. Surprises are like cockroaches; you rarely see just one for a company. If last quarter was a surprise, the next one could also be a surprise. If so, you will be glad you owned the stock a week or so before the earnings announcement!
MICROSOFT CORP -NMS - 2.000 5/23/94 - 14430 EMPLOYEES
DESIGNS, DEVELOPS, MARKETS AND SUPPORTS A PRODUCT LINE OF SY
STEMS AND APPLICATIONS MICROCOMPUTER SOFTWARE FOR BUSINESS A
ND PROFESSIONAL USE, INCLUDING OPERATING SYSTEMS, LANGUAGES
AND APPLICATION PROGRAMS, AS WELL AS BOOKS,
YEAR EPS BEFORE XTRAS & NRI'S
-CUR- HI/LO 1ST 2ND 3RD 4TH YR( 6)
PRICE 100 109/ 59 97 0.82E 0.95E 0.96E 0.96E 3.76E
PRC/EPS 37 43/ 26 96 0.78 0.80E 0.78E 0.78E 3.11E
REL P/E 9.9 2.8/1.9 95 0.51 0.60 0.63 0.63 2.37
YLD 0.00 IAD NA SINCE 10/87
DEC SLS(MM$) NET(MM$) EPS-XNRI EPS-REP DIV/SH HIGH LOW
95 5937 1453 2.37 2.32 NONE 93 59
94 4649 1146 1.98 1.88 1.00 63 41
93 3753 953 1.57 1.57 NONE 46 37
It also displays other key information: most recent stock split; exchange traded; number of employees; and 12 quarters of estimated ("E") and acutal EPS before non-recurring items. Both actual annual reported earnings per share (EPS) and EPS before non-recurring items (EPSXNRI), as well as sales, net income, dividends and high and low price are shown for the past four years.
OPERATIONAL ANALYSIS
SEGMENT INFORMATION
NOT PROVIDED
SHARES NA /OWNED BY 77.50% INSIDERS; 38.70% INSTITUTIONS
GATES, WILLIAM H., 27.6%
GATES, WILLIAM H. -CHAIRMAN -PAID $418,240
(FROM ANNUAL REPORT TO SHAREHOLDERS) "WE'RE CONTINUING T
O BUILD OUR SOLID CORE OF DESKTOP COMPUTING PRODUCTS, WHILE
SPRINGBOARDING INTO NEW MARKETS AND NEW MEDIA." TO OUR SH
AREHOLDERS THE ELECTRONIC REVOLUTION HAS ARRIVED, FULL FO
RCE. AND WITH IT HAS COME VAST CHANGES IN HOW WE WORK, HOW
WE PLAY, HOW WE INTERACT, AND EVEN HOW WE THINK. CONSIDER
HOW THE PERSONAL COMPUTER INDUSTRY HAS EVOLVED OV CONTINUED
OPERATIONAL ANALYSIS CONTINUED
ER THE LAST DECADE. IN AN AVERAGE MONTH, MORE PERSONAL COM
PUTERS ARE SOLD IN THE UNITED STATES THAN VCRS. WHILE PRIC
ES OF COMPUTERS KEEP GOING DOWN, PERFORMANCE KEEPS GOING UP.
TODAY'S MACHINES OPERATE AT PROCESSING SPEEDS A HUNDRED TIM
ES FASTER THAN THOSE OF A DECADE AGO. MORE PEOPLE ARE WORK
ING ON MORE COMPUTERIZED HARDWARE PLATFORMS THAN EVER BEFORE
--FROM DESKTOPS AND LAPTOPS TO
Chairman's name and compensation are provided along with a discussion of recent events condensed from the president's letter or analysis of operations in the company's most recent 10K report filed with the SEC.